Motor Industry Analysis Packs
The Mission Control Packs are a series of economic analyses covering:
– Market Analysis Pack,
– Market Demand Drivers Pack,
– OEM Market Shares Pack;
– Passenger Pack,
– One Ton LCVs Pack,
– Market Forecast Pack,
– Used Cars Pack;
– Passenger Pack.
These packs are available on a monthly subscription to a series of online interactive dashboards. Users can, in real-time, adjust the period being reviewed, drill through to the underlying data or snip a chart for inclusion in an in-house presentation. They are updated every month.
Market Analysis Pack
This pack evaluates overall market performance at a brand level. In this pack are:
Passenger Market, at a Total Market and Dealer Market Level:
– Passenger and Passenger Trend Cycle
– Passenger Selling Rate vs Passenger Selling Rate Trend Cycle (per day)
– Passenger Sales Month on Month Change
– Passenger Selling Rate per day Trend Cycle Change
– Total Passenger Sales – YTD on YTD
Light Commercial Market:
– LCV and Total LCV Trend Cycle
– LCV Selling Rate vs LCV Selling Rate Trend Cycle
– LCV Sales Month on Month Change
– LCV Selling Rate per day Trend Cycle Change
– Total LCV Sales – YTD on YTD
Medium Commercial Market:
– Total MCV and Total MCV Trend Cycle
Heavy, Extra Heavy Commercial and Bus Markets:
– Total HCV and Total HCV Trend Cycle
– Total X-HCV and Total X-HCV Trend Cycle
– Total Bus and Total Bus Trend Cycle
Market Demand Drivers Pack
These drivers have been tracked for years and are known to underpin and set the pace for the South African motor market. Tracking and analysis of each has established how changes in one variable affect others and affect market volumes. The variables measured and analysed in this pack are:
Exchange Rate Variables:
– Exchange Rate Index (2000=100),
– New Car Sales Cycle vs Rand Dollar and Rand Euro Exchange Rates.
Pricing Factors and Variables:
– Passenger Sales Cycle vs New Vehicle Pricing Trends,
– Passenger Dealer Market Sales Cycle vs New Vehicle Pricing,
– Total Passenger Market vs Change in Nominal Vehicle Prices, vs Exchange Rate, Inflation Rate and Prime Rate,
– Volume Weighted New Vehicle Prices.
Income and Wealth Factors:
– Real Disposable Income of Households- Annual % Change,
– Annual Change in Standard Bank House Price Index vs Annual Change in the New Car Sales Cycle,
– Total Passenger Market vs JSE All Share Index,
– SARB Household Net Wealth to Disposable Income.
Confidence Indicators:
– RMB/BER Business Confidence Index,
– BER Consumer Confidence Index,
– Quarterly New Car Market vs RMB/BER Business Confidence Index,
– Total Passenger Market vs SACCI Business Confidence Index,
– Merchantec CEO Confidence Index.
Credit and Debt:
– New Car Sales Cycle vs Credit Extension,
– SARB Household Debt to Disposable Income,
– Debt Servicing Burden vs New Car Sales Cycle,
– SARB Debt Servicing to Disposable Income vs New Car Sales.
Sales Cycle Factors:
– Annual Change in SARB Leading Indicator vs Annual Change in Total Passenger Market Sales Cycle,
– Quarterly New Car Market vs GDP Growth,
– Total Passenger Market – Actual vs Trend Cycle,
– Replacement Cycle Analysis,– Replacement Cycle Analysis,
OEM Market Shares Pack
Passenger Pack:
– Monthly tracking of the passenger market share and market share trend cycles;
by manufacturer and groups all active OEMs.
One Ton LCVs Pack:
– Monthly tracking of the one ton LCV market share and market share trend cycles;
by manufacturer and groups all active OEMs.
Forecast Pack
Provides Forecast for Passenger as well as Light and Medium Commercial vehicles expertly moderated using a combination of X12, Winters and Econometric modelling. The pack includes:
New Passenger Sales:
– Sales Cycle and X12 Forecast,
– Econometric Forecast,
– New Car Sales Cycle,
– Total Passenger Market Forecast based on Dealer Market Forecast,
– Passenger Dealer Market Forecast,
Light Commercial:
– X12 Market Forecast, Pricing Trends.
Medium Commercial:
– X12 Market Forecast, Pricing Trends.
Used Car Pack
The Used Car pack provides monthly tracking and trend analysis covering Used Cars Financed, New vs Used Sales Cycles, and New vs Used Pricing. This pack covers:
– Used Cars Financed by Major Banks.
– New Car Sales Cycle vs Used Car Sales Cycle.
– Volume Weighted New Car Pricing vs Used Car Pricing.
– Annual Change in New Car Pricing Over Annual Change in Used Car Pricing.
– Distribution of Vehicle Cash Prices for current month.
